Thursday, March 13, 2008

Age Graded Scoring: How To Compare Running Performance Across Age & Gender

That runner on the left below is a friend of mine named Billie Moten - she's a New York Road Runner, a fixture on the Central Park running scene - you might note her from her appearances in Runner's World. I was told some weeks ago that she somehow broke her arm - hope she has a speed recovery. Last month she ran a Half-Marathon and clocked a 2:33. On first blush - that time might not impress - however in running - the true measure of the performance is in the Age Graded Score - which in this case was 67% - a fantastic performance at the Half-Marathon Distance. Note Billie Moten is 70 years old. This 67% score is equivalent to a 30 year old Man running a 1:28 Half-Marathon. But as the distance is increased, the scoring becomes more challenging to sustain, understandably, Billie clocked a 58% Score in the '07 NYC Marathon - still a very solid. What is Age-Graded Scoring? Basically, Age-Graded Scoring allows all individuals within a race to be "scored" against each other. That is done by first comparing the individual's finish time at that particular race distance to an "ideal" or best time (not necessarily the "world record") achievable for that individual's age and gender. Age-Graded Scoring utilizes statistical tables to compare the performances of individual athletes at different distances, between different events, or against other athletes of either gender and/or of any age. How does Age-Graded Scoring work? Let's say a 55-year old male runs a marathon in 3:00:27. He would receive an Age-Graded Score of 80.21%. That is because, according to the Age-Graded Scoring tables, the "ideal" finish time for a 55-year old male is 2:24:22, and that's about 20% faster (about 36 minutes) than our 55-year old ranNow let's say that a 27-year old male ran the same marathon in 2:45:47. Obviously, that is faster than our 55-year old. But is the performance of the younger runner really "better" when compared with that of a man more than twice his age? The answer is, "No!" In fact, the Age-Graded score of the 25-year old is only 76.51%. The old guy wins! And, our 27-year old has a lot of training to do if he expects to "improve with age" and post anything close to a 3-hour marathon when he turns fifty-five! Why Age-Graded Scoring? Age-Graded Scoring was originally developed to do two things: (1) Provide each race finisher with a percentage value score that will enable them to judge their performance against any and all others without bias to age or sex. So, no matter how old you get, your Age-Graded Score or "performance percentage" will be judged against the standard for your current age within your gender; and (2) as your performances decline with advancing age (and they will), so too will the standards used to calculate your Age-Graded Score, thereby giving you a true measure of your performance. Who knows, although your actual finish times may get slower over the years, you could actually improve in Age-Graded score like a fine wine. Correct each person's performance, no matter what age, to what it would have been (or will be) in their "prime" athletic years. This allows for very interesting comparisons. You can compare your current performance to previous ones over the same or any distance. You can compare your performance to other runners of any age and either gender. You can even compare your performance to the elite athletes. Where did Age-Graded Scoring come from? The research and statistical analysis that allows us to determine these percentages was developed by the World Association of Veteran Athletes (WAVA), the world governing body for masters long distance running, racewalking, and track and field. WAVA compiled approximate world record level performance standards for both genders and each age between 5 and 100. Then separate sets of standards were established for each of the standard road racing distances (5K, 8K, 10K, 12K, Half Marathon, Marathon, etc.). Age-Graded Scoring Achievement Levels
WAVA has also developed the following broad "Achievement Levels" for use with Age-Graded Scoring. A score within each range indicates the level of performance achieved by an athlete. You can find Age Graded Calculators online like here at Runner's World.
100% = Approximate World Record Level
90-99% = World Class
80-89% = National Class
70-79% = Regional Class
60-69% = Local Class

If you really want to get into it, click here.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Just bumped into this blog. Really nice. Really nicely written. Thanks.
Rick Ackermann from Portland, Maine

Anonymous said...

Hi Lance, I like your blog. But I think age-graded stuff is bogus. Good enough for Billie and others that they're out there! Andin her case, it sounds like beating her peers. Quite often I'll pass a person of age in a race a mile or two into it and have deep admiration for their committment and ability.

The age-graded calculations are to me the middle and old age versions of everyone getting a trophy. Why complicate the simplest sport?

SBO said...

like your blog too.
age-graded score is actually pretty accurate to compare performances over various distances for one specific age.

However I do think age-graded scores promote age (I am myself a 40+ runner). I believe standards may have been established when master runners were not as competitive they are now.
SBO

Richard said...

I'm all in favor of anything that broadens the appeal of the sport. For the 99.9% of us who don't finish first in a race, the Age-Gender Grades gives us something to point to--although I agree, it's like kissing your sister. At least it gives us something other than our PR as a benchmark and is useful for comparing performances of runners of different ages, genders and distances.

Your AG Grade is simply the WorldRecordTime/YourTime expressed as a percent. The WorldRecordTime is estimated using a mathematical model based on actual race data for your age and gender. Note that WRTime/YourTime is the same as YourPace/WRPace.

So there you have it, next race you can say "I didn't win or get a PR but my pace was 65% of the theoretical world record pace today for my demographic. Janet beat me by a hour but her pace was only 63% so I basically kicked her ass!"

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J. Feim said...

Hi Lancelot,

I am Billie Gail's niece in NC...she passed away yesterday morning, and her services will be held 2/22/2013 in Stony Point, NC.

I was googling her name to find pictures & articles about her in preparation for her funeral services & came across your blog! We are so thankful to you for featuring her in your blog. We thank God for the years she spent with us on this Earth and her passion for her sport.

Sincerely,
Jeanelle